MARYLAND — With winter 2026 still on the calendar, Maryland’s chances for more snowfall will depend on how often cold air returns to the region and whether storm tracks line up to produce precipitation while temperatures are low enough for snow.
So far this year, official climate data at Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport (BWI) show 11.7 inches of snow in January, which was above the January normal of 6.4 inches. By Feb. 12, BWI reported 0.0 inches of snowfall for February month-to-date, compared with a normal 3.5 inches by that point in the month, while season-to-date snowfall since Dec. 1 stood at 13.7 inches.
The season’s most impactful snow in central Maryland came during late January. A National Weather Service climate summary for Baltimore noted the month’s largest 24-hour precipitation total on Jan. 25, and classified at least one day as “heavy snow” during January. In western Maryland, snowfall from that same storm was higher in the mountains; a Maryland snowfall map based on National Weather Service reports listed 14.5 inches in Deer Park on Jan. 27.
Looking ahead, Maryland’s snowfall potential is shaped by two competing facts: the climatological peak of the snow season overlaps with the remaining winter weeks, but warmer stretches can quickly change precipitation from snow to rain, especially near the I-95 corridor and the Chesapeake Bay.
In Baltimore, long-term averages based on 1991–2020 data show February typically produces more snow than January (about 7.5 inches in February vs. 6.4 inches in January), and measurable snow can occur into March in a typical year. That means, even with February starting slowly for BWI snowfall, the calendar still leaves time for additional events if cold air and moisture overlap.
Geography also matters. Western Maryland’s higher elevations routinely hold onto winter longer than the coastal plain and central corridor. For example, long-term averages near McHenry and the Wisp area show substantial typical snowfall continuing through February and March, underscoring how the Allegheny highlands can still see accumulating snow even when lower elevations are marginal.
In the near term, regional forecasts have leaned toward warmer conditions and limited snow potential around mid-February, which can reduce opportunities for accumulating snow at lower elevations unless a storm arrives at the right time.
Even so, Maryland’s official season-to-date totals and the state’s typical late-winter climatology both support a straightforward conclusion: additional snowfall remains possible in winter 2026, with the highest odds for meaningful accumulation generally favoring higher elevations and any periods when sustained cold returns during active storm tracks.
