TENNESSEE — Parts of Tennessee could still experience measurable snowfall before spring, based on winter 2026 weather patterns and long-term climatological data, according to the National Weather Service.
While much of Tennessee typically sees fewer snow events than states farther north, February remains within the state’s historical snow season, particularly for Middle and East Tennessee and higher elevations of the Cumberland Plateau and Appalachian Mountains. Climate records show that measurable snow has occurred across Tennessee in late winter during many past years, including events in February and, less frequently, early March.
During the winter of 2026, weather patterns have included periodic intrusions of colder air into the Tennessee Valley and Southeast, often following storm systems moving across the central United States. When these systems align with sufficiently cold air at the surface, precipitation can fall as snow rather than rain, especially during nighttime or early morning hours.
East Tennessee and higher elevations are more susceptible to late-season snow due to colder temperatures and upslope flow when northwest winds develop behind departing storm systems. These setups have historically produced light to moderate accumulations, even as average temperatures begin a gradual seasonal increase.
Although the overall likelihood of snow decreases as spring approaches, measurable snowfall remains meteorologically possible in Tennessee until sustained warmer conditions become established. Historical weather data confirms that winter weather can persist beyond mid-February, meaning residents should not consider the snow season concluded based solely on the calendar.
